The Economics Research Department analyzes and forecasts key
North American economic, financial, and political trends and conditions
which directly impact on financial markets.
Research Rankings
By independent survey our economics department has consistently ranked in the top 3 with
Canadian equity and fixed income clients each year for the past 10 years. The rank in 2
002/03 is #1 with fixed income clients and #2 with equity clients.
Research Products Description
Economic Flashes
View our analysis of the latest key statistical releases.
The Week Ahead
Stay ahead of the market with analyses of the latest economic developments
affecting fixed income, equity and foreign exchange markets, and previews
of next week's key releases.
Monthly FX Outlook
Follow our concise forecast for seven major currencies, updated mid-month.
StrategEcon
Browse our updated forecasts of Canadian and U.S. financial markets
and our outlook on the North American economy.
Economics Forecast
Follow our detailed and longer term forecast for the Canadian and
U.S. economies, interest rates and currencies.
Economic Presentations
View our latest slide presentation outlining our economic and
financial markets forecasts for the Canadian and U.S. economies.
Canadian Financing Quarterly
Focus on key aspects and strategies in financing federal/provincial
budget deficits in Canada and abroad.
Federal/Provincial Budget Briefs
Provide a fast-breaking analysis of federal and provincial budgets.
Provincial Forecast
Provides an economic forecast update covering all 10 provinces and is produced twice a year.
Occasional Reports
Explore specific and topical economic developments for their impact on key financial markets.
European Weekly Focus
Weekly commentary and analysis of major economic and financial market issues
affecting Europe, the United States and Asia (the latter with particular
focus on Japan).
Weekly Economic Diary
The Weekly Economic Diary includes the major economic releases scheduled for the coming week, with the time of release, market consensus, market range and previous reading for each data. This includes the main US, Japanese and European figures. The weekly economic diary also describes the main economic/political events due in the coming week for the G7countries.
European Monthly Outlook
Monthly update on the latest Economic and Financial Markets issues in the Eurozone and the UK. This includes an update on the latest monetary policy decisions and an outlook for the coming month's interest rates decisions. The Monthly Outlook also proposes a 'Monthly Issue' that is an economic in-depth analysis of relevance to the financial markets, a market outlook (covering bonds and euro, sterling and dollar) as well as an update of the latest Eurozone & UK economic indicators.
Leading Indicators
Capitalize on our state of the art Neural Network-based indices of leading indicators
for economic activity and inflation.
Employment Quality Index
Look behind the headline employment figures and explore the nature of the jobs created
in the economy.
Canadian Portfolio Strategy Outlook
Canadian Portfolio Strategy Outlook features comprehensive equity and fixed
income portfolio recommendations from Economics & Strategy, Technical Analysis, Corporate Debt Research and Equity Research teams.
TSX Earning Watch
Review of recent TSX earnings trends, sector valuation analysis and outlook.
TSX Sector Strategy
Forecasts and analysis of individual TSX GICS sectors/weighting.
Household Market Analysis
Focus on key aspects of the mortgage and non-mortgage consumer credit markets
from both growth and risk perspectives.
Consumer Watch
Provides a close and detailed look at the health of the Canadian & American consumer.
The Bankruptcy Report
Focus on major trends in consumer and business bankruptcies.
Metro Monitor
Using 8 key macroeconomic variables, we have developed a metropolitan index of economic activity, which is structured in a way that approximates the change in each city's level of economic activity. With data going back for almost 10 years, our index enables us not only to monitor the current performance of a given city but also to track its cyclical behaviour against the national economy and other census metropolitan areas (CMAs). The focus is on the 25 largest CMAs in Canada.
Business Credit Analysis
Explore the ongoing trends in business credit by size of firms.
Small Business Economic Activity
Focus on key aspects of the small business and self-employment markets and their
relation to developments in the economy as a whole.
